Polina Kuharenko vs Anri Nagata Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Nagata edges out Kuharenko in second serve performance, winning 46.44% of points compared to Kuharenko's 40.16%. This statistic correlates strongly with match outcomes.
• How does the return game compare between the two? Kuharenko outperforms Nagata, winning 53.85% of their opponent's second serve points, a significant advantage since Nagata manages 45.45%.
• On first serve returns, Kuharenko again takes the lead with 36.49%, compared to Nagata's 32.93%, indicating a potential edge in returning serves.
• Under pressure, Kuharenko shows resilience by saving 60.9% of breakpoints faced, considerably higher than Nagata's 42.72%. This is a key indicator of in-match performance.
• Looking at overall performance over the past year, Kuharenko has a stronger winning record at 66.67%, whereas Nagata has won only 36.36% of their matches, highlighting Kuharenko's consistency.
• Which surface might affect their gameplay? Both players excel on hard courts, with Kuharenko holding a slightly better record of 65% compared to Nagata's 54%.
• Examining their experience, Kuharenko mostly competes in Futures/ITF $10K tournaments with a 66.67% win rate, while Nagata partakes primarily in Challengers/ITF above $10K, winning 41.18% of matches.
• In terms of opponent quality, Kuharenko has faced higher-ranked players on average, with opponent ranks at 354.08. Nagata's opponents averaged a rank of 426.82.
• When matches reach a deciding set, Kuharenko tends to prevail, winning 55% of these sets, as opposed to Nagata's 42% win rate, suggesting an advantage in longer matches.
• Kuharenko converts breakpoints more efficiently at 47.62% compared to Nagata's 35.21%, which is crucial for leveraging scoring opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (September 3, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the upcoming tennis match, Kuharenko demonstrates a clear edge in several critical aspects of play. Their superior performance in return games suggests they can capitalize on Nagata's second serves and secure key points.

Kuharenko's consistency under pressure, with a higher breakpoint save rate, indicates an ability to handle crucial moments with composure. Furthermore, their greater success rate in deciding sets highlights resilience in endurance-based matchups.

Overall career and surface performance further strengthen Kuharenko's case over Nagata, whose statistics reveal vulnerabilities, especially against higher-ranked opponents.

Based on these comparisons, Kuharenko appears to have the upper hand for this match, making them the more favorable pick for victory.